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Probation360 – Investor Overview

Building the operating system for probation and community supervision.

  • Automating daily drug test hotlines and check-ins
  • Reducing technical violations with smart reminders
  • Giving probationers and officers a single, clean source of truth

The Problem: Outdated Hotlines, Missed Calls, Unnecessary Violations

In the U.S., millions of people on probation or community supervision are still required to manually call a phone hotline or log into a clunky website every morning to see if they have to drug test.

These systems haven't meaningfully changed in decades:

  • Busy phone lines and outdated IVR menus
  • Confusing color/number systems for test days
  • No built-in reminders or tracking
  • No clean way to prove compliance day-to-day

The result: missed calls, confusion, and technical violations that send people back to court or jail—not because they committed a new crime, but because they missed a phone call.

Key Statistics

~3.1M Adults on probation in the U.S. (year-end 2023)
~3.8M Adults under community supervision (probation or parole)
100K+ Face prison admissions yearly due to violations, many for technical issues like missed check-ins

Sources: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics and criminal justice research organizations.

Market Size: A Massive, Under-Served Supervision Population

TAM

Total Addressable Market

5–7M

People annually with recurring check-in or testing requirements in the U.S. alone:

  • Adults on probation
  • Adults on parole
  • Drug courts, diversion, and specialty court supervision
  • Pretrial supervision with mandatory call-ins or testing
SAM

Serviceable Available Market

2–3M

Initial focus: U.S. adults on probation or parole who must call a hotline or portal daily for drug testing or check-ins.

Estimated SAM: 2–3 million people tied to phone- or web-based daily color/PID systems.

SOM

Serviceable Obtainable Market

20K–150K

Realistic penetration target (first 3–5 years):

  • 1% of SAM → 20,000–30,000 paying users
  • 3–5% of SAM → 60,000–150,000 paying users

At $7.99/month, this supports a multi-million-dollar ARR business with strong margins.

TAM: 5-7M
SAM: 2-3M
SOM: 20K-150K

Product: Turning Daily Chaos into One Simple App

Probation360 removes the manual burden of calling hotlines and tracking everything by hand.

Key Features

Automatic Hotline Calls

The app calls the probation drug test hotline on behalf of the user, then sends a push notification: "Test today" / "No test today."

Smart Daily Alerts

Automatic daily reminders to check results, never miss the window, and log attendance.

Court & Appointment Reminders

Calendar-based reminders for court dates, PO meetings, classes, and community service hours.

Compliance Dashboard

A simple view of tests taken, missed, upcoming obligations, and overall streak—designed to be shown directly to a probation officer.

Data-Driven Hotline Mapping

A growing, user-powered database of probation hotlines, numbers, and color systems across the country.

Why Now?

Justice tech is behind: most probation tools serve agencies, not people actually on probation.

Technical violations are costly for courts, taxpayers, and families.

Probation360 = "Uber-grade UX" in a space still stuck in 2000-era phone systems.

Business Model: Simple Subscription + B2B Upside

Core Model

  • Direct-to-consumer mobile subscription
  • Price: $7.99 per month (with room to test annual plans, e.g. $79/year)
  • Free trial: 7-day free trial to onboard people in crisis without friction

Revenue Channels

  • Direct subscriptions via Apple App Store (and later Google Play)
  • Future B2B/B2G: licensing dashboards or bulk access for:
    • Probation departments
    • Treatment / therapy providers
    • Drug testing labs and UA centers
    • Public defender and reentry organizations

For early-stage revenue under $1M/year, Probation360 can qualify for Apple's Small Business Program, reducing App Store commission to ~15% instead of 30% on iOS subscriptions.

Unit Economics & Revenue Scenarios (Illustrative)

Assuming: $7.99/month price, 15% App Store fee (Small Business Program), ~$1.50/user variable costs (infra, SMS/voice, support)

10,000
Paying Users
Gross MRR $79,900
After Apple 15% $67,900
Variable Costs -$15,000
Monthly Profit ~$52,900
Yearly Profit ~$635K
100,000
Paying Users
Gross MRR $799,000
After Apple 15% $679,000
Variable Costs -$150,000
Monthly Profit ~$529,000
Yearly Profit ~$6.3M+

These scenarios are illustrative only and based on assumptions about pricing, app store fees, and operating costs. Actual results will vary as we scale.

Current Status: Built, Tested, and Ready to Scale

Full app experience built and running via TestFlight (iOS)
Core backend, automation logic, and notification flows live
Hotline calling system functioning; database of hotlines actively being expanded
Landing page and sales funnel in place
Next Milestones:
  • Expand hotline coverage across more states and counties
  • Launch publicly on App Store
  • Begin focused outreach to probationers, UA centers, therapy providers, and legal professionals

Go-To-Market: Built From Inside the System

Founder Edge

Founder is currently on probation and built Probation360 to solve a real, daily pain.

Authentic demo content: real call-in experiences, real app workflows.

Deep understanding of how hotlines, UA centers, therapy classes, and POs actually work.

Acquisition Channels

Targeted outreach to: UA centers and testing labs, probation therapy/class providers, public defenders and reentry orgs

TikTok and short-form content showcasing "before/after" of hotline chaos vs app simplicity

Direct word-of-mouth among people on probation who share tools that actually help

Daily UA Market Snapshot – Top 10 States

Tens of thousands of adults on probation and community supervision across the U.S. must call a daily UA (urinalysis) hotline or check an online system to see if they are required to drug test that day. This creates a large, recurring behavior that is currently managed via legacy phone IVR systems and outdated websites. The following estimates are based on published state and federal probation supervision statistics and external research, not internal Probation360 projections.

Colorado
Estimated adults on probation
~95,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
8–15%
Estimated daily UA callers
7,600–14,250

High-frequency calling behavior dependent on legacy IVR hotlines; opportunity for automated mobile check-ins and reminders.

Texas
Estimated adults on probation
~430,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
10–18%
Estimated daily UA callers
43,000–77,400

Large population with diverse county-level systems; significant opportunity for standardized digital solution.

California
Estimated adults on probation
~305,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
12–20%
Estimated daily UA callers
36,600–61,000

Multiple county jurisdictions with fragmented hotline systems; automation can reduce confusion and improve compliance.

Florida
Estimated adults on probation
~220,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
11–19%
Estimated daily UA callers
24,200–41,800

Statewide hotline infrastructure vulnerable to outages; mobile app redundancy offers user peace of mind.

New York
Estimated adults on probation
~140,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
9–17%
Estimated daily UA callers
12,600–23,800

NYC and upstate rely on regional hotlines; app modernization appeals to reform-focused agencies.

Pennsylvania
Estimated adults on probation
~170,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
10–16%
Estimated daily UA callers
17,000–27,200

County-based probation offices vary in tech adoption; statewide app bridges digital divide.

Illinois
Estimated adults on probation
~125,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
11–18%
Estimated daily UA callers
13,750–22,500

Chicago's large urban population with aging hotline infrastructure; app modernization is priority.

Ohio
Estimated adults on probation
~185,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
9–15%
Estimated daily UA callers
16,650–27,750

Mix of urban and rural counties; mobile solution reduces barriers for low-connectivity areas.

Michigan
Estimated adults on probation
~155,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
10–17%
Estimated daily UA callers
15,500–26,350

State-managed system with room for digital innovation; app reduces call volume to hotlines.

North Carolina
Estimated adults on probation
~135,000
Estimated % required to call daily UA hotline
12–20%
Estimated daily UA callers
16,200–27,000

Growing tech adoption in courts and probation; app aligns with modernization initiatives.

Why This Matters For Probation360

  • The daily UA call-in system is repetitive, anxiety-inducing, and manually managed via legacy IVR hotlines. Probation360 replaces this friction with one-tap automated check-ins and instant push notifications.
  • Even a small penetration rate (1–3%) into this daily-caller population across just the top 10 states represents tens of thousands of recurring subscription users, translating to meaningful SaaS revenue and user lifetime value.
  • Courts, probation officers, and treatment providers benefit from better compliance data, fewer missed calls, reduced manual processing, and less time spent fielding repeat inquiries on hotlines.

Exit Strategy & Potential Outcomes

Strategic Exit Options

Potential acquirers:

  • Justice tech platforms and case management vendors
  • Electronic monitoring / supervision technology companies
  • SaaS providers selling into courts, probation, and corrections
  • Larger consumer apps expanding into legal/justice and compliance tools
  • Private equity roll-ups in gov-tech / public safety tech

Example Valuation Scenarios

(Hypothetical, assuming strong retention & growth)

10K users (~$960K ARR)
At 4–6× ARR: $3.8M–$5.7M
30K users (~$2.9M ARR)
At 4–6× ARR: $11.6M–$17.4M

These ranges are illustrative examples using common SaaS multiples; they are not forecasts or guarantees.

Use of Capital (Friends & Family / Seed Round)

Product & Engineering

Backend scaling, hotline coverage expansion, QA

Voice/SMS/Infra

Costs and monitoring for automated hotline calls

Marketing & Growth

Content, ads, outreach to centers and providers

Legal & Compliance

Legal, compliance, and insurance

Founder Support

Modest founder support to stay full-time on Probation360 during early growth

Interested in Learning More?

Let's discuss how you can be part of building the future of probation technology.

Contact Founder